PAIR.TRADING

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0.485832 TRUMP

FIL = 0.943 USDT
TRUMP = 1.941 USDT

export 1d data

Derived series only: the ratio of the two legs and the spread z-score. Exchange candles are not included.

FIL / TRUMP ratio and spread

1 FIL = 0.485832 TRUMP. Below is the price ratio chart and the regression spread z-score. Hedge ratio β is 0.592 and the correlation between the legs is 0.36.

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Hedge ratio β 0.592
Spread z-score 0.54
Correlation 0.36
Half-life 8.3 1d
The spread is within ±2σ — the pair is near its own norm.

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Key numbers

Current ratio0.485832
Change 1d20.82%
Change 7d39.41%
Change 30d3.96%
Period high0.540806
Period low0.17395
Hedge ratio β0.592
Spread z-score0.54
Correlation0.36
Half-life8 d

over 350 daily candles

What the numbers say

The legs barely move together: correlation of daily log returns is only 0.36. A spread built on such a weak link reverts by coincidence rather than by mechanism.

The spread is at 0.54 standard deviations from its rolling mean, which is effectively at its own norm.

Historically the spread covers half the way back to its mean in about 8 days, so a divergence here tends to resolve within weeks rather than months.

The current ratio sits in the upper part of its range — 85% of the way from the low to the high of the last 350 daily candles.

Frequently asked

How many TRUMP is 1 FIL?

1 FIL is worth 0.485832 TRUMP at the latest exchange quotes. The figure is the ratio of the two USDT prices and updates every minute.

What is the FIL/TRUMP range?

Over the last 350 daily candles the ratio traded between 0.17395 (05.11.2025) and 0.540806 (27.05.2026).

Are FIL and TRUMP correlated?

The correlation of daily log returns between FIL and TRUMP is 0.36, which counts as a weak link. Log returns are used rather than prices: two rising assets correlate almost by default, joint day-to-day movement is what matters.

What is the FIL/TRUMP spread z-score now?

The z-score is 0.54 — the spread is within its usual range. It measures how far the regression residual log(A) − β·log(B) sits from its rolling mean, in standard deviations.

Is FIL/TRUMP suitable for a pair trade?

Weakly. Correlation is only 0.36, so the legs do not reliably move together and the spread carries mostly idiosyncratic noise.

Related pairs

Other pairs sharing a leg with this one.

All figures are computed from exchange data and describe past behaviour. Nothing here is investment advice.

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