PAIR.TRADING

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2.53E-5 BTC

TRUMP = 1.941 USDT
BTC = 76822 USDT

export 1d data

Derived series only: the ratio of the two legs and the spread z-score. Exchange candles are not included.

TRUMP / BTC ratio and spread

1 TRUMP = 2.53E-5 BTC. Below is the price ratio chart and the regression spread z-score. Hedge ratio β is 2.461 and the correlation between the legs is 0.48.

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Hedge ratio β 2.461
Spread z-score -1.48
Correlation 0.48
Half-life 39.8 1d
The spread is within ±2σ — the pair is near its own norm.

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Key numbers

Current ratio0.00002526619978652
Change 1d-3.58%
Change 7d-15.68%
Change 30d10.12%
Period high0.000089725228557466
Period low0.000021795664568719
Hedge ratio β2.461
Spread z-score-1.48
Correlation0.48
Half-life40 d

over 350 daily candles

What the numbers say

The legs move together only moderately — correlation of daily log returns is 0.48, with a hedge ratio of 2.46. Signals from this pair carry more noise than on a tightly linked one.

The spread is at -1.48 standard deviations from its rolling mean: away from the norm, but not far enough to call it stretched.

Reversion is slow: the spread needs roughly 40 days to cover half the way back to its mean. A position would have to be held for a long time.

The current ratio sits near the bottom of its range — only 5% of the way from the low to the high of the last 350 daily candles.

Frequently asked

How many BTC is 1 TRUMP?

1 TRUMP is worth 0.00002526619978652 BTC at the latest exchange quotes. The figure is the ratio of the two USDT prices and updates every minute.

What is the TRUMP/BTC range?

Over the last 350 daily candles the ratio traded between 0.000021795664568719 (18.08.2026) and 0.000089725228557466 (10.11.2025).

Are TRUMP and BTC correlated?

The correlation of daily log returns between TRUMP and BTC is 0.48, which counts as a moderate link. Log returns are used rather than prices: two rising assets correlate almost by default, joint day-to-day movement is what matters.

What is the TRUMP/BTC spread z-score now?

The z-score is -1.48 — the spread is within its usual range. It measures how far the regression residual log(A) − β·log(B) sits from its rolling mean, in standard deviations.

Is TRUMP/BTC suitable for a pair trade?

The mechanics hold up: correlation is 0.48 and the spread historically covers half the way back to its mean in about 40 days. That is a description of past behaviour, not a forecast or a recommendation.

Related pairs

Other pairs sharing a leg with this one.

All figures are computed from exchange data and describe past behaviour. Nothing here is investment advice.

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